Monday, March 5, 2012

ONLY A MATTER OF TIME


"a flying bird can drop whitewash on the fore head of a walking man. This describes the law of senseless violence on the basis of random probability, and gives life to the phrase shit happens "

The boko haram menance has become as recurrent as government expenditure and doesn't seem to be going away anytime soon, except of cos some affirmative and definite measure's are set in place to gradually curb the already out of control situation.
With Nigeria divided into six geo-political zones, boko haram has its major share of activity in the north east, north west and north central regions. Within this areas, they operate freely, pray openly, distribute flyers, send letters, grant telephone and one on one interviews and release online videos. Rob banks, bomb police stations, churches, burn schools, kill and maim innocent people, and still have time to break inmates from jail, ambush security formations and disengage them of their weapons, setup bomb making factories, recruit suicide bombers and bike riding assassins. After all this hard work, they sometimes get to relax in fully protected government lodges too.
Despite the wanton violence going on within the boko haram controlled region, their network seem to exclude the south south, south east and south western regions. The south south and south east already a militant stronghold, with MEND (Movement for the Emancipation of the Niger Delta) at the helm of affairs (alongside several splinter groups) surely isn't ready to share territory with any external group as the resources they are fighting for is yet to be fully actualized, which boko haram might not be able to cope with.  Any attempt to strike areas within such a volatile region, will be met with stiff resistance. The south western region, which has gradually disaasociated itself from the PDP ruling party by electing gubernatorial candidates of other political parties to run the affairs of the states, have the OPC  (Oodua Peoples Congress) which works under the radar, as their actions are less violent in operation than MEND or BOHA (boko haram). Even at that, the stability of the region remains intact, with the exception of armed robbery operations which still happen time to time.
With BOHA yet to make clear their demands as to reasons for the almost daily bombings, its now a question of time, how long will BOHA continue to operate within the north east, west and central regions before they become overconfident of their success within the terrain and make attempts to spread their wings of operations to other regions?
The BOHA time bomb is better defused than allowed to detonate as the containment of its ripple effects might just be an end no one wants to witness.

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